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Market Timing

Sunday, March 22 2020
The title above kind of speaks for itself.  Rather that me going on about what happened so far in 2020, and my opinions as to why, let's just get to the point.  In 2020 YTD, the SPY is down -29% and the MIPS models are down only -3%. That, we are very proud of. 
 
Graph #1
- In 2020, SPY -29%

 More Bad News - The SPY hit and fell below its last support level (#3 below) and the next one is "way down".
image.png


Graph #2 - In 2020, MIPS -3%  (from TimerTrac.com)
More Good News -- If the SPY goes down further, MIPS will go up higher (as in 2008, to over +50%)
image.png

Note: The above charts from TimerTrac.com are calculated from actual, verified signals from MIPS (all MIPS models
issued the same signals in 2020). When MIPS models issue a signal after the market close, MIPS members are to trade
on the next days open. The calculated numbers are not 100% equal to the numbers from real trades because: (a) signals 
issued to trade on the open may execute 2-3 minutes late (and 3-4% different than the open), and (b) buying the SH is not
quite the same as shorting the SPY, and (c) the SPY is not exactly the same as the S&P Index which it follows. 
The GOOD NEWS is that these number are indeed close enough for us to analyze and track our performance.

Good Trading...
Paul Distefano, PhD
Founder / Owner
MIPS Timing Systems, LLC
Houston, TX
281-251-MIPS(6477)
www.mipstiming.com
Posted by: Dr. G. Paul Distefano AT 03:18 pm   |  Permalink   |  Email
Thursday, March 19 2020
In the graph below, you can see that the SPY is sitting just on top of it's last support level from Dec'19  ("Support 3").
If the SPY breaks Support 3, there is not another one until way, way down (like near a real "Bottom").
- all of the MIPS models (except MIPS1) are "Short", so we are not worried, yet !!!
Stay tuned...
image.png
Paul Distefano, PhD
MIS Timing Systems, LLC
Houston, TX
281-251-MIPS(6447)
Posted by: Dr. G. Paul Distefano AT 12:21 am   |  Permalink   |  Email
Wednesday, March 11 2020
Big news is giving investors a rough time. This is mainly because, independent of the bad news they are preaching (mainly Virus), it is bad news for us whether it true is or not.  Remember, the markets can tolerate "actual" bad news, but it cannot tolerate "Uncertainty" !!!   And remember, in times like this, markets take the stairs up and the elevator (or jumps) down.

The market (SPY) has reached what I would call a critical support level on the close today at about $274.36.  Before a real bad total "CRASH" takes place, the SPY has only one more "support level" (at $234.34 or almost 15% lower than today's close) before free falling. Just going to that support level after what we are going through now will feel almost as bad as a total "crash".  We need to watch the next few days carefully. Of course, we could almost guarantee that MIPS would go short well before taking a fall like that (unless it happens in one day).
 
image.png

Paul Distefano, PhD
CEO / Founder
MIPS Timing Systems
Houston, TX
www.mipstiming.com
Posted by: Dr. G. Paul Distefano AT 06:44 pm   |  Permalink   |  Email
Thursday, March 05 2020

We know that we have sent lots of emails in the last two weeks, but the short article below is a good one to read at this time.
 

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4329444-1918-spanish-flu-and-stocks


Paul Distefano, PhD
CEO / Founder
MIPS Timing Systems, LLC
Houston, Tx

Posted by: Dr. G. Paul Distefano AT 10:03 pm   |  Permalink   |  Email

MIPS Timing Systems
P.O. Box 691047
Houston, TX  77269

An affordable and efficient stock market timing tool. Contact MIPS
281-251-MIPS (6477)
E-mail: support@mipstiming.com